Paul HUBERT

 


 

Researcher at OFCE - Sciences Po

Co-organiser, Workshop on Empirical Monetary Economics

Contact:

OFCE

69 quai d'Orsay

75007 Paris, France

Email: paul.hubert@sciencespo.fr

Research Fields: Macroeconomics, Monetary Economics, Applied Econometrics

[Ideas RePEc] [Google Scholar]

 


CV


RESEARCH

 

Working Papers and Work in Progress

» "Central Bank Communications and Inflation Expectations"

    with Stephen Hansen and Michael McMahon.

» "Central Bank Sentiment and Policy Expectations"

    with Fabien Labondance, July 2016. [pdf]

» "The Influence of Central Bank Projections on the Effect of Monetary Shocks"

    with Becky Maule, November 2016. [pdf] [earlier wp version]

» "Does Monetary Policy generate Asset Price Booms and Busts?"

    with Christophe Blot and Fabien Labondance, July 2016. [pdf]

» "The Effect of ECB Forward Guidance on Policy Expectations"

    with Fabien Labondance, July 2016. [pdf]

» "The Intertwining of Bank Credit and Bank Instability"

    with Jérôme Creel and Fabien Labondance, May 2016. [pdf]

» "Inflation Expectation Dynamics: The Role of Past, Present and Forward-Looking Information"

    with Harun Mirza, December 2014. [pdf]

» "Country Size, Economic Performance and Volatility"

    with Olfa Alouini, August 2015. [pdf]

Publications

» "Qualitative and Quantitative Central Bank Communication and Inflation Expectations" (2016)

    B.E. Journal of Macroeconomics, forthcoming.

» "The Effect of ECB Monetary Policies on Interest Rates and Volumes" (2016)

    Applied Economics, 48(47), 4477-4501, with Jérôme Creel and Mathilde Viennot.

» "ECB Projections as a Tool for Understanding Policy Decisions" (2015)

    Journal of Forecasting, 34(7), 574-587.

» "The Influence and Policy Signalling Role of FOMC Forecasts" (2015)

    Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, 77(5), 655-680.

» "Do Central Bank Forecasts Influence Private Agents? Forecasting Performance vs. Signals" (2015)
    Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, 47(4), 771-789.

» "Financial Stability and Economic Performance" (2015)

    Economic Modelling, 48, 25-40, with Jérôme Creel and Fabien Labondance.

» "Assessing the Link between Price and Financial Stability" (2015)

    Journal of Financial Stability, 16, 71-88, with Christophe Blot, Jérôme Creel, Fabien Labondance, Francesco Saraceno.

» "Has Inflation Targeting Changed the Conduct of Monetary Policy?" (2015)
    Macroeconomic Dynamics, 19(1), 1-21, with Jérôme Creel.

» "FOMC Forecasts as a Focal Point for Private Expectations" (2014)

    Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, 46(7), 1381-1420.

» "An Assesment of the SGP Reform in a Small-Scale Macro Framework" (2013)

    Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, 37(8), 1567-1580, with Jérôme Creel and Francesco Saraceno.

» "The European Fiscal Compact: A Counterfactual Assessment" (2012)
    Journal of Economic Integration, 27, 537-563, with Jérôme Creel and Francesco Saraceno.

» "The Nature of Oil Shocks and the Global Economy" (2012)
    Energy Policy, 42, 509-520, with Liza Archanskaïa and Jérôme Creel.

» "Constrained Discretion in Sweden" (2012)
    Research in Economics, 66(1), 33-44, with Jérôme Creel.

    In French

» "De l'importance de la nature des chocs pétroliers" (2010)
    Revue Economique, 61(3), 511-520, with Liza Archanskaïa and Jérôme Creel.

» "L’adoption du ciblage d’inflation produit-elle un changement de régime?" (2009)
    Revue Economique, 60(3), 727-735, with Jérôme Creel.

Book Chapters, Non-Refereed Publications, Shorter Papers and Policy Briefs

» "Euro Area Inflation and ECB Policy in a Global Environment" (2016)
    Politica Economica Journal of Economic Policy, 32(3), 539-554, with Christophe Blot et al.

» "Negative interest rates: incentive or hindrance for the banking system?" (2016)

    Monetary Dialogue, 28 November 2016, with Christophe Blot.

» "Financial market fragmentation in the euro area" (2016)

    Monetary Dialogue, 26 September 2016, with Christophe Blot et al.

» "The impact of ECB policies on euro area investment" (2016)

    Monetary Dialogue, 21 June 2016, with Christophe Blot et al.

» "Rooms for extension of the ECB’s QE programme" (2016)

    Monetary Dialogue, 15 February 2016, with Christophe Blot et al.

» "Policy Implications of Learning from More Accurate Central Bank Forecasts" (2015)
    Economics Bulletin, 35(1), 466-474.

» "Revisiting the Greenbook's Relative Forecasting Performance" (2015)
    Revue de l’OFCE, 137, 151-179.

» "The ability of the ECB to control inflation in a global environment" (2015)

    Monetary Dialogue, 12 November 2015, with Christophe Blot et al.

» "The redistributive effects of QE" (2015)

    Monetary Dialogue, 15 June 2015, with Christophe Blot et al.

» "The QE experience: worth a try?" (2015)

    Monetary Dialogue, 23 March 2015, with Christophe Blot et al.

» "Dealing with the ECB’s Triple Mandate?" (2014)

    Revue de l’OFCE, 134, 163-173, with Christophe Blot et al.

» "Assessing the Future Sustainability of French Public Finances" (2014)
    in Fiscal and Debt Policies for the Future, Arestis-Sawyer (eds), Palgrave, with Jérôme Creel and Francesco Saraceno.

» "French Public Finances at Risk?” (2014)

    Panoeconomicus, 61(1), Special issue, 1-19, with Jérôme Creel and Francesco Saraceno.

    In French

» "Causes et conséquences des taux d'intérêts négatifs" (2016)

    Revue de l’OFCE, 148, with Christophe Blot.

» "L’impact du découplage des politiques monétaires de la BCE et de la Fed" (2016)

    Revue de l’OFCE, 147, 223-258, with Christophe Blot and Christine Rifflart.

» "Trois questions autour de l’impact du prix du pétrole sur la croissance française" (2016)

    Revue de l’OFCE, 147, 197-222, with Eric Heyer.

» "La politique monétaire crée-t-elle des bulles?" (2015)

    Revue de l’OFCE, 144, 257-286, with Christophe Blot and Fabien Labondance.

» "Une analyse empirique du lien entre investissement public et privé" (2015)

    Revue de l’OFCE, 144, 331-356, with Jérôme Creel and Francesco Saraceno.

» "Les politiques monétaires non conventionnelles: quelles actions pour quels résultats?" (2015)

    Problèmes Economiques, (HS)8, 99-107, with Christophe Blot and Fabien Labondance.

» "Que peut-on attendre de l’assouplissement quantitatif de la BCE?" (2015)

    Revue de l’OFCE, 138, 265-290, with Christophe Blot et al.

» "Comment lutter contre la fragmentation du système bancaire de la zone euro?" (2014)

    Revue de l’OFCE, 136, 171-219, with Christophe Blot et al.

» "Politiques monétaires: est-ce le début de la fin?" (2013)

    Revue de l’OFCE, 130, 225-262, with Christophe Blot et al.

» "Europe, États-Unis: la fin du rattrapage?" (2010)
    Cahiers Français, 357, 38-43, with Jérôme Creel.

 

 


OFCE  - Blog de l'OFCE - Sciences Po

Liza Archanskaïa - Christophe Blot - Jérôme Creel - Fabien Labondance - Becky Maule

Harun Mirza - Francesco Saraceno and his blog - Mathilde Viennot

Monetary Dialogue of the European Parliament ECON Committee